Now after the Karnataka election Victory, the NDA has a clear upper hand over UPA in 2009 elections. The greatest challenge for BJP is to counter the anti-incumbency in MP, Rajasthan & Chhattisgarh. We shall see before the end of 2008 how well BJP tackles the anti-incumbency in these states. But my sense is that it will retain Chhattisgarh, lose Rajasthan and MP can go either way depending on how many SC votes BSP takes away from Congress. Overall if these predictions come true, NDA is likely to cross 200 mark in 2009 Lok Sabha elections. With the support of 40-45 seats from Mayawati and 20 seats from Jayalalitha, NDA will form a government. So the remote control will go into the hands of the two ambitious ladies from the ideologically rigid left parties.
RE:NDA government possible - Maya, Jaya to hold remote control
by iamyourfather on May 25, 2008 06:45 PM Permalink
BJP is exported to South India now. It will be completely wiped out in next assembly elections in these 3 states.
RE:NDA government possible - Maya, Jaya to hold remote control
by Chola The Greatest in the Universe on May 25, 2008 06:46 PM Permalink
Rajasthan & Madyapradesh must be a sacrificing goat for General Election for the sake of India! If BJP loses these two states (Assembly elections) chance of BJP getting stronger responses during General Elections. Otherwise, Voter fatigue may catch up during General Elections and might not favor BJP.
People may not vote against the same party in quick time frame.
RE:NDA government possible - Maya, Jaya to hold remote control
by Astute Analyst on May 25, 2008 06:52 PM Permalink
I guess the trend in 2008 assembly elections in Karnataka, MP, Rajasthan & Chhattisgarh will be a strong indicator of the direction of popular mood for 2009 Lok Sabha elections. I don;t think people will vote for one party in assembly elections an another in Lok Sabha. Gujrat, Punjab & Uttarakhand will also continue to favor UPA. Only change might be UP. If Congress allies with Mulayam & Ajit Singh, they may be able to snatch some seats from Mayawati.
