I guess the trend in 2008 assembly elections in Karnataka, MP, Rajasthan & Chhattisgarh will be a strong indicator of the direction of popular mood for 2009 Lok Sabha elections. I don;t think people will vote for one party in assembly elections an another in Lok Sabha. Gujrat, Punjab & Uttarakhand will also continue to favor UPA. Only change might be UP. If Congress allies with Mulayam & Ajit Singh, they may be able to snatch some seats from Mayawati.