After Sri Lanka's big win over Bangladesh today, the equation is pretty straightforward for India on Friday: win and qualify and carry two points to the Super 8. It is all but impossible for Bangladesh to qualify if India wins on Friday.
A quick calculation: India scored 191 413 = 604 in 100 overs and gave away 192 156 in 98.3 overs. So they are 256 in terms of runs. If they beat Sri Lanka, their net will be at least 257.
Bangladesh scored 192 112 = 304 in 94.3 overs and gave away 191 312 = 503 in 96 overs (today's match came to SL, with Bangladesh's target revised to 311 in 46 overs). This gives Bangladesh a net score of -199. This means Bangladesh will need to win the Bermuda game by just below 199 250 = 449. We can safely assume it's not going to happen.
So India just needs to win against Sri Lanka. In the recent past we had a good record over SL, with a 6-1 win in 2005 and a 2-1 win just before the World Cup. But things are different now. India will be under immense pressure. SL are on a high.
Common perception is that SL prefer to have BD in Super 8, as in that case they would carry 2 points. But the problem then is: it will mean all the other teams in Super 8 (other than Ireland) are virtually guaranteed 2 points. Of course, SL also have those two points. But teams carrying two points from other groups will have an advantage. These will be New Zealand, AUS/SA, WI/Ire.
Frankly, NZ and AUS/SA are virtually guaranteed semi-final spots with two matches against Bangladesh and Ireland. So SL will end up fighting for one of the remaining two spots with WI and AUS/SA. It might be better for them to have India in Super 8, so that no spot in SF is certain, even at the cost of two points. This is not to suggest that SL will do anything less than 100% on Friday. But they might just be tempted to try out some reserve players.
Anyway for India, it's the proverbial do or die. On March 23 four years ago they had a bad day. But that was the final. Now they are in danger of a knock out in the group stage. (An Indian loss on Friday won't technically knock them out. They might still pray for a Bermuda win over Bangladesh, which is surely highly unlikely. Given their good run rate, India will qualify after a 3-way tie between Bangladesh, Bermuda and India.)
As for us fans, let's hope that we will have a good match while praying that India will win. But let us also remember that it's only a game.
RE:Cricket World Cup 2007: India vs. Sri Lanka Preview
by Satya ss on Mar 22, 2007 11:03 AM Permalink
If both the ind-sl and bd-ber match rains and get washed off, then India will be through...YAY!! Pray Pray...rain god? If we are religious this will happen.
RE:RE:Cricket World Cup 2007: India vs. Sri Lanka Preview
by tushar chopra on Mar 22, 2007 11:06 AM Permalink
BROTHER THE DAYS RESERVED IN THE SCHEDULE ARE FOR THIS REASONS ONLY, IF ANYTHING HAPPENS LIKE THAT, MATCH WILL BE PLAYED ON OTHER DAY. SORRY, BUT ITS TRUE.
RE:Cricket World Cup 2007: India vs. Sri Lanka Preview
by MANISH P on Mar 22, 2007 11:00 AM Permalink
finally !! u won the essay writing competition........congrat's!!
RE:RE:Cricket World Cup 2007: India vs. Sri Lanka Preview
by Full2njoy on Mar 22, 2007 11:04 AM Permalink
thank you buddy. its a simple copy paste competition
RE:RE:RE:RE:Common
by Abed Jani on Mar 22, 2007 11:26 AM Permalink
You are so boring! Just like your father who could not even produce that ONE, so he had to ask a pig to donate and you are born. Congratulation!
Please have some one to ensure that healthy discussions are being carried out . Some of the messages are real filthy and below dignity. If you can not control such messages then pls do not start such blogs.
RE:RE:Editor, Pls stop this !!
by Full2njoy on Mar 22, 2007 11:04 AM Permalink
Q: What is common between a Bengali and Sperm? A: Only one in a million work.
Q: What is common between a bong and Inzy bhaiyya? A: Both stink. Inzy bhaiyya because of all the aloo. Bong as usual from the mouth.
RE:RE:Editor, Pls stop this !!
by Full2njoy on Mar 22, 2007 11:04 AM Permalink
Q: What is common between a Bengali and Sperm? A: Only one in a million work.
Q: What is common between a bong and Inzy bhaiyya? A: Both stink. Inzy bhaiyya because of all the aloo. Bong as usual from the mouth.
RE:Editor, Pls stop this !!
by Full2njoy on Mar 22, 2007 10:53 AM Permalink
Q: What is common between a Bengali and Sperm? A: Only one in a million work.
RE:Please God Save Our Team !!!!!!!
by CHIVUKULA KISHORE on Mar 22, 2007 10:53 AM Permalink
Don't worry my dear...it is not Men in Blue played against Bermuda and also to play against Srilanks...It is the water in Black played and will play. India will be therein Super 8, by all means, else the 25000 Crores Advt money would go waste, which the big Corporates never allow. Example...Sehwag, who was in worst form of his career outplayed the bowlers fo Bemuda..because ALL the balls were pitched out side off stick and out going deliveries...unlike the balls to Sourav, on the off stick in coming..Please realize the fact and stop worrying .. take it for granted ...India will be in Super 8. The match between Bangla and Bermuda would be low scoring match..note that...
RE:RE:Please God Save Our Team !!!!!!!
by Full2njoy on Mar 22, 2007 10:56 AM Permalink
Q: What is common between a Bengali and Sperm? A: Only one in a million work.
RE:RE:Please God Save Our Team !!!!!!!
by Full2njoy on Mar 22, 2007 11:07 AM Permalink
Q: What is common between a Bengali and Sperm? A: Only one in a million work.
Q: What is common between a bong and Inzy bhaiyya? A: Both stink. Inzy bhaiyya because of all the aloo. Bong as usual from the mouth.
RE:Please God Save Our Team !!!!!!!
by Full2njoy on Mar 22, 2007 10:53 AM Permalink
Q: What is common between a Bengali and Sperm? A: Only one in a million work.
RE:RE:RE:Please God Save Our Team !!!!!!!
by Full2njoy on Mar 22, 2007 10:57 AM Permalink
Q: What is common between a Bengali and Sperm? A: Only one in a million work.
Don't worry my dear...it is not Men in Blue played against Bermuda and also to play against Srilanks...It is the water in Black played and will play. India will be therein Super 8, by all means, else the 25000 Crores Advt money would go waste, which the big Corporates never allow. Example...Sehwag, who was in worst form of his career outplayed the bowlers fo Bemuda..because ALL the balls were pitched out side off stick and out going deliveries...unlike the balls to Sourav, on the off stick in coming..Please realize the fact and stop worrying .. take it for granted ...India will be in Super 8. The match between Bangla and Bermuda would be low scoring match..note that...
RE:Rs 25000 Crores get a Place for India in Super 8
by Full2njoy on Mar 22, 2007 10:53 AM Permalink
Q: What is common between a Bengali and Sperm? A: Only one in a million work.
Yeh Sheuli bose sabhi players sachin,dravid, sehwg ko female bol rahi hai,jab ki iske naam se hi nahi pata chalta ki yeh male hai ya female. i m in confusion. Plz have a debate. give ur opinion, is male or female. plz no other comments
RE:RE:HI ALL
by Truth on Mar 22, 2007 10:53 AM Permalink
his Hi*** ko lagta hai ki Bengali are most educated persons in india. but they are half-minded fools. dekho kaise gan-d-ungi karte rehte hai.
Dun worry guys we wud defeat SL if not they take the return flight but keep the stock of rotten eggs, tomatoes and chappals ready to greet them if they come b4 Super 8
RE:RE:SL
by blossom galiaud on Mar 22, 2007 11:30 AM Permalink
why kill sachin and dravid atleast they worked hard to make it to the indian teAm ..i have been watching you you just talk about killing ..are you a murderer by profession i believe you are/ what have you achieved besides killing people ..does your name appear in the papers for some real heroic deeds ..so shut up do something first and then taLK
RE:RE:SL
by Truth on Mar 22, 2007 10:56 AM Permalink
begali sperm doesn't work. they are otsource from china. ha ah. tabhi toh inke yaha sab kuch chineese jaisa hai
RE:watch world cup live at www.123pal.com
by Full2njoy on Mar 22, 2007 10:56 AM Permalink
Q: What is common between a Bengali and Sperm? A: Only one in a million work.