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Beyond Exit Poll Headlines
by Pop Head on May 19, 2008 09:39 PM   Permalink | Hide replies

The NDTV and Cfore exit polls gave an almost diametric prediction. At the end of Phase II, NDTV projects BJP 65-75, while Cfore projects a deadheat with both Congress and BJP at 60 seats each.

For Phase II, NDTV projects BJP in a range of 32-42 seats. This is in deviation to the first phase where the channel gave a single digit seat prediction.

So why a range? All these seats are too close to call, so the range provided . Out of these ten seats, the BJP faces off the Congress in 5, JD(S) in 4 and other parties including independents in one constituency.

Though NDTV gave a range 32-42 seats for BJP for Phase II, which on closer scrutiny may not be very optimistic for the party as it seems superficially on a cursory glance. The very fact that the range commences at 32 seats, suggests the probability of even a seat loss (33 being BJP%u2019s last tally).

A poll-of-polls indicate that the BJP will overall end around 92-96 seats, Congress 72-76 seats and JDS 40-44 seats Others 10-12 seats.

A Congress-Janata Dal- SP coalition is very much on the cards. Maybe a compromise CM candidate too? Bangarappa



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  RE:Beyond Exit Poll Headlines
by All Right on May 20, 2008 12:18 PM   Permalink
OK. Congress should win by themselves...

Don't you know Sonia Gandhi? People will complain against you if you spread rumours that there's going to be a coalition.

She's had enough with the coalition at center... why'd she want another headache in the states as well?

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  RE:Beyond Exit Poll Headlines
by Punyakumar on May 20, 2008 12:47 PM   Permalink
NDTV said BJP will be losing its ground in Gujarat.

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  RE:Beyond Exit Poll Headlines
by Punyakumar on May 20, 2008 10:14 AM   Permalink
NDTV has a track record of dismal predictions.

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