The NDTV and Cfore exit polls gave an almost diametric prediction. At the end of Phase II, NDTV projects BJP 65-75, while Cfore projects a deadheat with both Congress and BJP at 60 seats each.
For Phase II, NDTV projects BJP in a range of 32-42 seats. This is in deviation to the first phase where the channel gave a single digit seat prediction.
So why a range? All these seats are too close to call, so the range provided . Out of these ten seats, the BJP faces off the Congress in 5, JD(S) in 4 and other parties including independents in one constituency.
Though NDTV gave a range 32-42 seats for BJP for Phase II, which on closer scrutiny may not be very optimistic for the party as it seems superficially on a cursory glance. The very fact that the range commences at 32 seats, suggests the probability of even a seat loss (33 being BJP's last tally).
A poll-of-polls indicate that the BJP will overall end around 92-96 seats, Congress 72-76 seats and JDS 40-44 seats Others 10-12 seats.
A Congress-Janata Dal- SP coalition is very much on the cards. Maybe a compromise CM candidate too? Bangarappa
RE:Beyond Exit Polls Headlines
by seena on May 23, 2008 03:34 PM Permalink
its very intresting becase diff exit poll given diff prediction. i thik bjp may touch arround 105to 110 with indipendnet its form a govt.
