Congress has realised that this is the perfect time to call for the general election. They have only very few issues in hand (Loan waiver, Nuclear Issue) which are fresh in the mind of the voters. The rise in Prices Pinches. But the real threat will be when the inflation becomes more pronounced. Now, they are blaming the global phenomenon for it. But as the time passes, such a reasoning would not not buy any votes.
BJP can not take any advantage from Nuclear issue. They can neither vehemently oppose it nor support it. Come election, thy will largely ignore it. And, no body will listen to the reasoning of the left, anyway.
RE:Timing An Election
by Anointed One on Jul 08, 2008 11:20 PM Permalink
even if the deal is signed or not, it will hardly make a difference of 10 votes for congress. what people want is stable governance, jobs and security. appeasement hurts and appears insulting especially after hundreds of innocent civilians are blasted by islamist terrorists in the country.
RE:Timing An Election
by All Right on Jul 08, 2008 10:51 PM Permalink
Even if the government falls, there is no respite to you knickerwallahs or commies.
1. In whole of South India, BJP will find it difficult to open its account. This despite BJP forming the government in Karnataka last month. A Congress-JDS tie-up gives them 55% vote share, adequate to ensure a complete white wash for the BJP who would lose their 18 seats they hold currently. In Tamil Nadu, the DMK alliance sits quite pretty and AIADMK will certainly not enter into a pre-poll pact with the BJP. Chandra Babu Naidu in AP will do the same, tying up with the Left instead. In Kerala, the BJP is a non-player.
2. BSP cannot likewise enter into a pre-poll pact with BJP because to protect its Muslim votes. So the BJP is destined to third place at best - losing 15 seats it currently holds.
3. In MP, Orissa, Chattisgarh and Rajasthan, the BJP governments faces huge anti-incumbency. Accordingly expected to lose significant seats it currently holds.
This is only a short list. So except for small states like Delhi, Haryana etc, there is no space for the BJP to makeup its loses, leave alone forge ahead from its current tally.
The Left is in a similar predicament. It is poised to get completely white washed in Kerala (where it now holds 20 seats). In West Bengal it is expected that TMC-Congress tie-up will make a huge dent.
So except for their public posturing, both BJP or Left do not want immediate elections
RE:RE:Timing An Election
by anjan sengupta on Jul 09, 2008 12:13 AM Permalink
Congress can hope 2 do well in only those constituencies where Mulla population is more than 25-30%
RE:RE:Timing An Election
by anjan sengupta on Jul 09, 2008 12:12 AM Permalink
n BTW MP n Chhattisgarh State Govts (BJP) will Not lose 2 Congrss coz Congress is Extinct in these states. Congress even struggle 2 win Municipal Corpotation wards in cities like Indore , Jabalpur , Bhopal, Raipur , Bhilai n Bilaspur
RE:Timing An Election
by anjan sengupta on Jul 09, 2008 12:10 AM Permalink
ur analysis is Wrong man BJP will again Sweep Himachal , Uttarakhand , Punjab , Delhi, MP , Raj , CG , Orissa Gujarat , Vidharbha (Maharashtra), Jharkhand , Karnataka.
It will do much beter in Bihar , AP n Bengal. the only worry 4 BJP is UP
