In the first phase there are 89 seats in Old Mysore region. Out of that 36 seats are in Bangalore and its surrounding areas. Lot of software and BPO people remained aloof last time. But this time they will vote with vengeance to BJP after congress's Mandal II fiasco. (Congress will soon realize that why VP Singh became a footnote in history for Mandal I and Arjun Singh is taking congress to same Garden Path). I expect BJP to win minimum 45 seats in I round. People did not give BJP a chance in Hassan and Mandya districts and people are realizing that BJP is going to give JD(S) and congress a tough fight even in so called vokkaliga heartland.
Bottomline - BJP did not count in around 60 seats last time and it lost deposit in 40 of those seats. It starts this time with an advantage with around 70 safe seats and around 130 tough fights and no chance in less than 10-15 seats. If intensive campaign and BJP's carpet bombing strategy with Modi, Advani, Sushma, Rajnath and cadre work in Unison the seat tally can definitely cross 150. But I never see a problem for simple majority under even worst circumstances.
RE:K'taka polls: Kumaraswamy, Revanna file nominations
by Punyakumar on Apr 22, 2008 11:01 AM Permalink
BPO's don't form a major vote base. It is the ordinary people who are. Let the BJP woo BPO. JDS is a people's party, gullible ordinary people who have lost land to BPO land mafia will teach BJP a lesson
