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Tactical Voting
by Pop Head on Apr 21, 2008 06:58 PM   Permalink | Hide replies

The assumption that Lingayat Brahmin vote will win majority for the BJP is a mere fallacy. (The Brahmin vote is miniscule in the state).

The JD(S) has already largely perceived to have collapsed and all other communities may graviate towards the Congress since the JD(S) is increasingly seen as a loser. This second scenaraio is already visibly evident. It must be noted that Vokaligas and Muslims tend to switch from JD(S) and Congress and back again very freqently.

Vicky's analysis of why SM Krishna is not standing or why Congress is not announcing its
CM candidate is based on the later scenario - Congress is trying to be a magnet for all castes and does not want to upset caste equations - very shrewd strategy.

So what evidence is available of a Lingayat-non-Lingayat caste polarization has taken place. The BJP boasted that they had a 15 day campaign lead over the Congress. Now that they hit the campaign trail, they have realized that the masses have very little enthusiasm for them.

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  RE:Tactical Voting
by rama on Apr 21, 2008 07:20 PM   Permalink
yes..congress lost dalit vote to bsp !!
lingayat vote to bjp
brahmin vote to bjp
vokkaliga votes to jd(s)
idiga vote to sp
other lower castes like shetty's naidus,reddy,bunts vote to again bjp
st vote to bjp bcoz of vanavasi kalyan work's
nayaka vote to various kannada parties

minority vote will be split by jd(s) and congress
the only community that is going to support congress in coming election is kuruba's

congress is all set to be wiped out it seems with too much dissidence also !!!


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  RE:Tactical Voting
by Suresh Gowda on Apr 21, 2008 10:22 PM   Permalink
Cong 150
BJP 30 - 45
JD(S) 12-20
BSP 4-10


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  RE:Tactical Voting
by rama on Apr 21, 2008 10:24 PM   Permalink
No:

Cong 160
BJP 15 - 35
JD(S) 12-20
BSP 4-10


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  RE:Tactical Voting
by Suresh Gowda on Apr 21, 2008 10:19 PM   Permalink
ScoreCard BJP - 140 - 150
Cong 150
BJP 30 - 45
JD(S) 12-20
BSP 4-10


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  RE:Tactical Voting
by Suresh Gowda on Apr 21, 2008 10:43 PM   Permalink
DMK 70
AIDMK 40
Cong 40
BJP 10
JD (S) 10

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  RE:RE:Tactical Voting
by Suresh Gowda on Apr 21, 2008 10:44 PM   Permalink
NCP 50
Cong 40
Akali 10
Left 20
BJP 2

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