yellaru kele, Yavano shatta nanna maga heluva mathu kelabedi. Nanu heluthiruvu satya. yare yaste badkondru namma karnataka jana yarigu majority kodolla. i am telling with most disheartdly.
According to me the result could be like this, This is 100% guarantee. Don't belive write it in bond paper. Seats vote share Cong(I) 75-80 33-35% BJP 75-80 28-30% JD(S) 30-35 16-18% OTHERS 20-25 14-17%
RE:Hung assembly
by narayan on Apr 09, 2008 03:03 PM Permalink
according to u only 210 seats in karnataka !!!! how come ??? rest 15 odd seats swallowed ????
RE:Hung assembly
by ravishankar on Apr 09, 2008 03:11 PM Permalink
Mr, If you see my figure. You can clearly know that I have given the range of seats for individual parties. So one party could go to higher mark and other lower. finally the tally comes to 224 only. if having any doubt calculate with ranges. This variation is due to the vote share which itself is having 2% swing for or away which leads to this kind of result. I am Psephologist
RE:Hung assembly
by rama on Apr 09, 2008 03:42 PM Permalink
now i understand y psephologists in india are always wrong !!!! we have seen this just 3 months back in gujarat
RE:Hung assembly
by ravishankar on Apr 09, 2008 03:46 PM Permalink
Mr, In Gujrat the fight is bipolar. So even a vote swing of 2-3% cause more no of seats difference between two parties. don't compare gujrat case to karnataka.
RE:Hung assembly
by narayan on Apr 09, 2008 03:05 PM Permalink
even dewe gowda himself claims jd(s) will win only 30 seats !!! but u providing them even more..hilarious indeed !!!
RE:RE:Hung assembly
by ravishankar on Apr 09, 2008 03:14 PM Permalink
Mr, Sometimes the election results are so surprise that even the winning party also could not predict that we won so many seats beyond our expectation. I have given this figure because the particularly in this election in every constituency there will be four way fight not three way fight. The fourth fighter will be BSP or SP or independent of rebel candidate causing damange to any of these three parties
RE:Hung assembly
by Dark Horse on Apr 09, 2008 03:57 PM Permalink
for your kind information BSP(minority votes from Congress) or SP(muslim votes from JDS) will eat only Congress and JDS votes more compared to BJP. so BJP will be have better result than mentioned by you.
RE:Hung assembly
by rama on Apr 09, 2008 03:45 PM Permalink
now i will predict... bjp--125-135 seats cong--50-50 seats jds-15-20 seats others-10-20 seats
RE:Hung assembly
by ravishankar on Apr 09, 2008 04:11 PM Permalink
Psephologists never went wrong in UP. In fact the margin of 1.5% caused BSP to gain majority. I am repeatedly saying don't compare any other state to karnataka. The congress & JD(S)base is still very strong in rural& interior karnataka. There is a wide difference of opinion from city to rural.
