I lived in Vadodara and studied during the congress rule from 1980 to 1990.
I recall my school remaining closed every year for 20-30 days, due to riots. Since 1990, only thrice has the school closed due to riots. BJP rule ( Including Keshubhai/Chabildas/Suresh Mehta )ensured that Muslims started paying taxes, utility bills, constructive activities to support themselves rather than depending on govenrment, and most importantly..KNOWING that someone will give take punitive action ( notably the police - TADA, PASA etc ), if they indulged in antisocial or antinational activities.
This approach helped the resources to be diverted to progressive means, and a positivity was generated. Except ENGLISH MEDIA ( notably all the SHEELA BHATTS/ RAJDEEPS SARADESAIS/ PRONOY ROYS ) and some no work NGOS ( ACHYUT YAGNIKS / MEDHA PATKARS / TEESTA SETALWADS ), nobody in Gujarat cares about the GUJARAT RIOTS !!
I believe, that Modi will lose this electiond primarily, due to the number of enemies he has created during his tenure..He made the farmers pay taxes and high Electr. bills ( Guj. is the first state to tell farmers to pay bills )..He reduced GOVT employee leaves to 12 a year...He did not remove OCTROI despite pressure..He sidelines all ministers who were non performers/ show stoppers....He made teachers work during vacations...
In longterm , his steps are good, but that has alienated him from a large segment of voters.
English media will term this as a HINDUTVA defeat!!!