As per me the new alliance worked out by Mr Kumarswamy & Mr Yadiyurappa will not last long, which means that the elections will be held & then the cong will have a cake walk.
the reasons would be:
the JD (S) will not be in position to consolidate their vote bank, first Mr. Siddaramaiah is out & now after alligning themselves with the BJP, Muslims will come out & vote for Cong.
Mr. Mallikarjun Kharge will be next CM after elections.