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Finally!
by Manan Patel on Mar 27, 2007 10:15 PM

Finally, someone presents the most important point behind India's exit.

Granted, we did not play to our potential. It does not warrant elimination after just one game. The idea behind the process of elimination (even the idea of world cup) is to choose 4 best teams to go through semi-final to battle each other. Remember here! The idea is to find the 4 "best" teams. Every team thinks they are the best, so the only way to find out if they all play against each other.

Even math teaches us better than to have just 1 or 2 bad games decide the outcome of the groups. The very first rule of statistics and sampling is to have "BIG ENOUGH" sample to rule our "flukes".

Just based on one game, it is decided that Ireland is better team than Pakistan; and Bangladesh is better team than India. Almost everyone in world except for people from Ireland and Bangladesh knows that's not true.

Let's for the sake of argument say, India plays 10 games agaist Bangladesh. I think, given that Bangladesh has improved a bit, the results will be India 8 wins - Bangladesh 2 wins. It just so happened that one of those 2 loses happened to be in the prelim. group match.

Many people are saying India did not advance because they lost to Sri Lanka, when they should have won. Not so fast, I say. There is no shame in losing to Sri Lanka. I think 10 games between India-Sri Lanka would go 5-5, so it's fine. So, we only had one bad game to put us out of world cup. NOT FAIR!

South Africa lost to Australia, England lost to New Zealand. There were always going to be 4 good teams losing to 4 other teams in respective groups. So, it's not India losting to Sri Lanka or Pakistan losing to West Indies that put them out of the world cup. It's their ONE BAD DAY that did them in.

And statistically speaking, no matter how you churn the butter, ONE BAD DAY IS NOT A BIG ENOUGH SAMPLE TO DUB INDIA (and Pakistan, for that matter) AS A BAD TEAM!



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Bindra blames format for WC exit