Aus, Ind, and NZ have 2 more points than other teams, which makes them favorites at this point. Now consider the points that teams have carried from pool games. Aus's and Ind's are hard earned because they beat stronger teams (SA and SL). That makes them bigger favorites to move on to semis. Now India will have to look at games against England and WI as must wins, then they will be very close to making to semis.
Even though WI will move to Super-8 with 2 points, it has to consider unlucky because those points are from a win over the weakest team in Super-8. But on the brighter side, they will have an extra game compared to other teams if you take out Ireland from the picture.