The question whether the UPA will survive appears to be a wrong one. It should be "Will the UPA Government survive?" UPA may very well survive for more time and become opposition for some time before finally getting disintegrated. The government's survival is very much at doubt - may be a 40-60 for win-lose. Even if the SP joins some (about one third = 13) may go out of SP. Even if all the undecided independents support, the magic figure may not be nearby. The unfortunate part is, the TRS which was holding some good number a couple of months ago is left with a small number which is of no big use even if they support. The Muslim-group parties may not even think of supporting on this issue. The so-called charisma of Chairperson is lost long back and MPs are openly questioning the chair and fighting. Big money may not be kept at stake since the left out time is very small and many may not be willing to spend now as this could not be recouped by their corruption before general elections, particularly given the results of recent state legislative election failures. After all they need some buffers to face the forthcoming elections. There may be a repetition of the Kashmir government downfall in Centre too. Poor Bush, he may not see the Nuke Deal get through so easily!
