Caste Eqations & the Present scenario after yeddi has been denied to continue as a CM holds a key in Karnataka Politics. the lingayat Votes are the key for any sucessfull results as they vote in a similar pattern to Muslims voters from the begining. The caste wise equations in Karnataka are as fallows
Now the voting pattern shall be and has been with similar situations as below.
Predicted BJP's Vote share out of the percentage mentioned above :
60% Lingayat i.e 10.2 percent of Population(Yeddi's Mercy) 30% Vokkaliga i.e 4.5 Percent of pop (Divided b/n S.M.K,HDD,& SDG) 80% Bhramin i.e 4.8 percent of pop 20% of Kurubas i.e 3.2 percent of pop 40% of others i.e 6.4 percent of pop. 25% of Dalits i.e 5.75 percent of pop Muslims shall never vote bjp.
with above traditional dedicated voters added with Lingayat voters, they form 34.85 (gain index) percent of total karnataka population.
Yet again,Let us consider a POLLING DAY Voting Percentage of
45-52 % Then BJP Stands to gain a narrow margin of simple majaority.
If the voting pattern is 52-65 % then BJP Stands to gain more than 135 seats.
LET US WAIT AND WATCH. I HAVE A SIMILAR CALCULATIONS FOR CONGRESS ,(their gain index is 28.2 percent.
With issues like price rise, poor infrastructure,etc shall further add up in B
