CSDS opinion poll in 2004 predicted comfortable return of S.M.Krishna as CM. Congress was lucky not to get pushed to III place.
Here are couple of bundle of contradictions in the opinion poll. In Hyderabad Karnataka region dominant Vokkaligas and lingayaths are split between BJP and Congress while OBC's are minorities are heavily favoring congress. Actual facts - Vokkaligas are not even half percent of Hyderabad Karnataka population.
Some more contradictions - Yediyurappa is the most popular choice of CM. Coalition govt. was the most popular and congress govt. was most unpopular. Still congress is making comeback due to support of section of society at bottom of pyramid. Did Yogendra Yadav apply Bihar logic of Lalu getting elected repeatedly. Except parts of Hyderabad Karnataka, there is no extreme deprevation as found in Northern states like Bihar and UP. Finally this prediction is made based on interview of 524 candidates. Based on interview of 524 candidates the projection is made for entire state. Even in best of circumstances it will be difficult to predict undercurrent even in 1 seat based on talking to 524 people. Yogendra Yadav made a bold prediction before second round of Gujarat polls that Modi is on his way out. Trying to convert his personal haltred in to personated opinion and projecting as pseuphology does not bring him any credit or for that matter to CNN-IBN. In that respect local Kannada newspapers have been impartial