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K'taka: A race for tickets & caste games
by on Apr 09, 2008 05:58 AM

Here is the situation.

1) Coastral and Malnad region :- Dominance of BJP to continue. May lose one or two seats in Shimoga. May compensate it in ChickMagalur. JD(S) does not count except few seats in Chickmagalur. Congress very weak except Deshpande may retain his seat in Uttar Kannada district.

2) Bombay Karnataka : - Dominance of BJP to continue. Congress in very bad shape. JD(S) does not count.

3) Hyderabad Karnataka:- I include Bellary in this region. BJP is very strong. Congress is really demoralized. Sonia won in Bellary but has never stepped there. Sushma Swaraj who lost has kept continuous touch with the constitutency. Dharam Singh may not contest. Kharge looking for safe seat.

4) Central Karnataka:- Congress may give a fight to BJP in this region. However loses in other region may not compensate some minor gains here.(Davangere, Chitradurga etc)

5) Old Mysore:- BJP was really weak here last time. But has emerged stronger due to defection from other parties. Except few seats in Hassan where JD(S) will win , many seats see traingular fight and BJP will definitely improve its performance.

6) Bangalore city:- Congress chances of reaching last times total depends on performance here. In cosmopoliton Bangalore with price rise being a big issue BJP will start with a big advantage.

Here is total forecast

BJP - 132 - 145 seats

Congress - 45 -55

JD(S) - 12-19

Others - rest.



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