There is no valid reason for Modi - or BJP to win.
Because Gujarat:
* Does not want to get the dubious distinction of being branded as a state of Religious Fanatics
* Does not need a 'dictator' to achieve peace, progress and prosperity
* Does not want a leader who is not welcomed by dozens of developed countries of the world; Gujarat very much needs and wants to be a part of the global society, the global economy. In these times of rapidly increasing globalisation, Gujarat needs a leader with a truly international standing, and not someone who is internationally notorious.
While Modi repeatedly boasts of '5 crore Gujaratis' in front of the media every time he gets an opportunity to do so, everybody knows that in reality, he is only a bedfellow to 5 rich business houses. His sole concern is to make them richer, and nothing else.