Chances that Modi or congress getting majority is dim.
The chances are better for Congress to improve its tally. This itself will be a great achievement considering the fact that till three months ago, Congress was no where.
My assunption is based on following.
Modi's wife and in laws will not suport Modi
Patels will vote against Modi.
Kolis will vote against Modi
Brahmins will vote against Modi
Thakore will vote against Modi
Majority of Farmers will vote against Modi
Majority of working class is upset with Modi
Followers of Hard line Hindutva (Togadia , VHP, Bajrang Dal) will not support Modi.
Swadhya Samaj will not support Modi.
Followers of Swaminarayan will not support Modi.
Goons will support Modi
Education Mafia will support Modi
Land Mafia will support Modi
5 Crorepati will support Mr Modi
Modi will win however as an abundant caution I will advise the followers of Modi to buy new hankerchief to hide face or to wipe out the tears.