I admire the clarity of the writer's perspectives. It is indeed a pipedream to predict the balkanisation of Pakistan just as yet. While the writer diplomatically stresses only on NATO's future, the real fact is that the US is as yet unwilling to let go of a powerful bulwark against India in the shape of a strong Pakistan. It makes sense to reign in India through Pakistan for both the US and china, though they have visibly competing interests most notably in Gwadar. Therefore barring a few stray elements of the erstwhile Nothern allaince in Afghanistan, Iran's Baloch minorities and a small Hindu population in Balochistan, there is little if any logistical support for any potential Indian design. I also feel that the Bangladesh parallel is insignificant since for one, Balochistan is geographically contiguous with rest of Pakistan and secondly its wealth of natural resources makes it extremely indispensable to Pakistan.
