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Thought Experiment ...
by Senthil Kumar on Jul 26, 2007 10:10 AM

Lot of people don't understand the devastating
effect of rupee depreciation on common man.

In mathematics they call it boundary condition
analysis. Similar approach could be used to find
the appropriate value of Rupee.

For a theoretical case :
Lets Assume 1$ = Rs. 1000

Now practically all our goods would be
exported to outside world. Exports would
be so profitable, common man wont get any
products (whether it is grains or gadgets).

1 Liter petrol would be Rs. 1000
1 gram gold would be Rs. 16,000


Oil would be so expensive that even oil
we get in India would get exported.

What effectively happened is, we are giving
all our minerals and work force of every
Indian man and eomen to the betterment of people outside
India (like USA). What do we get for that?? USA will print
their own currency and give it to you.

In bottom line, It is like plain old Slavery.

In boundary condition analysis.
Lets look at the other side.

Lets assume $1 = Rs. 1

Now every thing in world will get imported.
1 Liter petrol will be less than Rs. 1.
1 gram gold would be Rs. 20.
You can buy a good computer for Rs. 150.
You can have a round trip for USA for less
than Rs.1000.

You can buy a nice private jet for
Rs. 50 lakhs.

Now You can't export any thing.

*Unless* the product you export is
really really needed by the importing
country.

Currently USA is importing like mad.
They run huge deficit.
Why do they do that??

Importing improves ordinary people lives.
Now exporters of the country need to im

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Re rise may extract Rs 1 lakh