Rediff.com |  Feedback  
You are here: » Rediff Home » Discussion Boards » Permalink
  
View : Single Message | Complete Thread | Read complete Discussion
Thought Experiment ..
by Senthil Kumar on Apr 29, 2007 07:23 PM

Lot of people don't understand the devastating
effect of rupee depreciation on common man.

In mathematics they call is boundary condition
analysis. Similar approach can be used to find
the appropriate value of Rupee.

For a theoretical case :
Lets Assume 1$ = Rs. 1000

Now practically all your goods would be
exported to outside world. Export would
be so profitable, common won't get any
products (whether it is grains or gadgets).

1 Liter petrol would be Rs. 1000
1 gram gold would be Rs. 16,000


Oil would be so expensive, that even oil
reserve we get in India would get exported.

What effectively happened is, we are giving
all our minerals and work force of every
Indian man to the betterment of people in
USA. What do we get for that?? USA will print
their own currency and give it to you.

In bottom line, It is plain old Slavery.

In boundary condition analysis.
Lets look at the other side.

Lets assume $1 = Rs. 1

Now every thing in world 'll get imported.
1 Liter petrol will be less than Rs. 1.
1 gram gold would be Rs. 20.
You can buy a good computer for Rs. 150.
You can have a round trip for USA for less
than Rs.1000.

You can buy a nice private jet for
Rs. 50 lakhs.

You can't export any thing now.

*Unless* the product you export is
really really needed by the importing
country.

USA is importing like mad.
They run huge deficit.
Why do they do that??

Importing improves people's lives.
Now exporters need to improve their
efficiency to stay alive.

Inefficient exporters don't want to
improve their efficiency. Currency
depreciation is easy money for them.

What is the bottom line ?!

The country shouldn't rely just on
exporting simple products like textiles,
and minerals from your country.
Software is a good example of quality export.
It can with stand further rupee appreciation.
Because importes don't have cheaper, quality
alternatives.

    Forward  |  Report abuse
The above message is part of the Discussion Board:
The great Indian rupee trick