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How reliable are Exit Polls in India?
by Bharat Kr on May 23, 2008 02:23 AM  Permalink  | Hide replies

NDTV gives BJP 95-115, Congress 55-75, JDS 45-55. Prannoy plays safe.

Summary for BJP
DRS poll : 120-130
NDTV : 95-115
Asianet : 104-114
CNN-IBN : 76

Don't give any importance to CNN_IBN poll, it is simply biased fabrication of numbers.

Lets see what happens on Sunday, by 10am we will know the final picture.


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RE:How reliable are Exit Polls in India?
by seena on May 23, 2008 03:22 PM  Permalink
its may true except cnn_ibn

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NDTV exit poll giving 95-115 to BJP
by Manjanna on May 22, 2008 11:55 PM  Permalink 

NDTV conducted an exit poll for third phase of Karnataka elections, and in this round too the Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP) is expected to march ahead of others. The exit poll shows an overall swing in favour of the BJP.

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Do not vote for BJP
by A Singh on May 22, 2008 11:39 AM  Permalink  | Hide replies

I think citizens of India should vote for any party except the BJP. This is why:
1. BJP (Or the Jana Sangh) stood for three things: The Nuclear Bomb, Abolition of Article 370, and Implementation of Uniform Civil Code. Later it added Construction of a Ram Mandir at Ayodhya to its agenda.
It can be argued that the three guiding principles, which differentiated the party from the rest; were all in the interest of the country, but people started voting for BJP when they took up the Ram Mandir issue.
By the blessings of Lord Rama, they got the power, and what did they do first up? They ditched Lord Rama, and they are no longer talking about article 370 etc. Aishwarya is right, when she says they have no principles.
Why should you vote for a party that does just the opposite of waht it says?

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RE:Do not vote for BJP
by Jay Shah on May 25, 2008 12:13 PM  Permalink
When the alternative is the Congress(I) aka the Muslim League, there is no choice but to vote for the BJP.

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RE:Do not vote for BJP
by dev singh on May 25, 2008 01:42 PM  Permalink
Slaves like u will keep voting for Congress and commies.

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RE:Do not vote for BJP
by seena on May 23, 2008 03:25 PM  Permalink
no i think we should vote for bjp..because the party which is rulling for 50 yrs done nothing........

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RE:Do not vote for BJP
by humblefarmer on May 23, 2008 04:35 PM  Permalink
ask your dad and ur grandfather may be he ll tell u more abt the india in their times and now

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RE:Do not vote for BJP
by Vijay on May 22, 2008 02:22 PM  Permalink
Is it possible for the government to construct Ram Mandir when
1. You are supported by three parties which are into minority appeasement.
2. When the issue is in Supreme court.
3. You take a oath that you will up hold the law and law does not allow to go ahead with the construction.

I also have mis givings that BJP could not do anything which they stood for. But they have done lot of good work during the 5 years they ruled.
India has a better relation with US. This is important as Pak is not the only enemy we have.
They meant development. Try looking for the impact of Golden quadrilateral and prime ministers rural connectivity scheme.
BJP did not take credit for these. But this is done by them.

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RE:Do not vote for BJP
by santh thomas on May 22, 2008 05:53 PM  Permalink
That means POWER is bigger than RAM.So they did not construct the Mandir.They had U.P and CENTRE.So supported by 3 parties should not be an excuse!!!!.It came to Supreme court later on.

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aishwarya patil
by aishwarya patil on May 22, 2008 11:19 AM  Permalink  | Hide replies

I can understand when people want to vote for BJP, Congress or even BSP.
But what kind of people vote for JD-S is the question which really baffles me.

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RE:aishwarya patil
by yateesh yateesh on May 23, 2008 01:55 PM  Permalink
Here party wont come into picture in some areas where they look for the person,where he may be in JDS...

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RE:aishwarya patil
by humblefarmer on May 23, 2008 04:37 PM  Permalink
pay a visit to hassan ull find why they vote for gowda

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RE:aishwarya patil
by Vijay on May 22, 2008 02:04 PM  Permalink
You are from North Karnataka. That is the reason you are having the difficulty to understand this.
In Mysore - Mandya region there is a strong vokkaliga presence. Livelyhood is agriculture. This is the place which votes for JD-S. Only Deve gowda is proven as a leader for this community. No one else is present in this region who has the calibre of Gowda.
Only people who read news papers (read English) hate Gowda(s) and JD-S. These guys have the knowledge of day to day affairs and seen progress in some way. For people of Gowda rajya there is no dream and no development vision. So they continue to vote for the politician from their own cast.
When you have to decide between the two evils you will select the one which has some similarity with you.

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RE:aishwarya patil
by Sam on May 22, 2008 04:42 PM  Permalink
Caliber? Read as Money, Muscle power. He's the epitome of shamelessness! However Money Talks and everybody knows that. He has spoiled the nation and is ruining karnataka. Lord save Kannadigas...

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RE:aishwarya patil
by on May 22, 2008 11:16 PM  Permalink
Be Karephul of saying such things against Gowda. He is our hero, our God.
Lowda will screw your bum if you say such things aginst him.

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RE:aishwarya patil
by Sudhir ss on May 22, 2008 06:32 PM  Permalink
People who read english newspapers are living one of the pathetic life in Karnataka mainly in Bangalore with scrappy infrastructure. People who votes for Gowda doesn't have any infrastructure bottleneck. Check the road from Mysore-Hassan or Mysore-Bangalore. Its a world class road.

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RE:aishwarya patil
by on May 22, 2008 08:33 PM  Permalink
its time now for bjp to rob ktk

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RE:aishwarya patil
by raj on May 22, 2008 11:23 AM  Permalink
jds is the bane of karnataka - the rot in bangalore is solely due to the gowda family

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RE:aishwarya patil
by Riyaz Rahman on May 23, 2008 02:53 PM  Permalink
Banaglore is not the karnataka. karnataka is the land of farmers. And our vast resources belong to rural area. Growth of karnataka depends entirely on building infrastructure for people living in backward and rural karnataka. And JD(S) has better understood this than other parties...

if question this baffles Aishwarya then it should also baffle why BSP is voted to form govt in UP.. It is beauty of democracy and right to govern... at last people win.

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aishwarya patil
by aishwarya patil on May 22, 2008 11:16 AM  Permalink  | Hide replies

Congress at least stands for something; even if it is just the rule of and by The First Family of India.
What does the BJP stand for? Nothing.
Decide for yourself: Which is better.

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RE:aishwarya patil
by dev singh on May 25, 2008 01:46 PM  Permalink
If your parents have taught you indian values, culture you have understood what BJP stands for.

sycophants like you will keep voting for Congress.

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RE:aishwarya patil
by Bharat Kr on May 23, 2008 02:05 AM  Permalink
BJP stands for Bharat, the nation; BJP stands for our culture, heritage and civilization; BJP stands for Patriotism; BJP stands for Nationalism; BJP stands for Development; BJP stands for Secure Nation; BJP stands for Peaceful nation; BJP stands for stronger nation; BJP stands for Superpower Nation. Wake up my sister, you seems very young age. Never mind, with age you will learn and understand.

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RE:aishwarya patil
by humblefarmer on May 23, 2008 04:41 PM  Permalink
good joke

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RE:aishwarya patil
by Umapathi hg on May 23, 2008 01:00 PM  Permalink
hi aishwarya
mine shall i join the debate about who is going to form the government, and mine suggestions also the same that people have deceided this time vote for BJP
may i know where u r from?

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RE:aishwarya patil
by raj on May 22, 2008 11:22 AM  Permalink
congress stands for years of corruption, dividing communities and castes by pandering only to their votebank, supporting terrorism by not taking action against the terrorist in certain communities, they have a dynastic politics - heck guys like kharge had to stand outside the congress office for a good half an hour for displeasing rahul gandhi - thats a shame!

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RE:aishwarya patil
by aishwarya patil on May 22, 2008 11:29 AM  Permalink
I never said Congress has done very well. But it at least has one principle: To blindly accept the dictats of the Nehru-Gandhi family.
BJP has no principles. It captured Power on the strength of Ram Mandir movement, and the first thing it did was to ditch Lord Rama, when they got the Power. I tell you they are a useless lot.

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RE:aishwarya patil
by Vijay on May 22, 2008 02:13 PM  Permalink
BJP was a principled party. They have lost lot of their credibility and principles during last few years.
Do you really think people voted for BJP thinking they will build Ram Mandir? It is not possible for BJP to do it when they were in power. IT IS A COALITION GOVT.
Now compared to congress BJP still has some strengths.
They have a Vision (Clear).
They want to strengthen the country.
They want to provide security.
They are not scared of arresting terrorists.
They support development.
There is development in states where BJP has ruled.
Yedyurappa (though stupid) has provided some good schemes when he was finance minister.

Stop looking at the world with your view. You will never know why other person is acting like he does. People always have reasons for doing some thing and they are right most of the time.

If you do not like BJP it is fine. But do not ridicule a party which has done lot of things for the country.

Also the congress you read in text books (which fought for indipendence) and one today are different. They have same name. That is the end of comparison.

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RE:aishwarya patil
by ANAND TEERTHA on May 22, 2008 06:51 PM  Permalink
Patil you are wrong Cong-I cannot be called first family. Mahatma GAndhi asked to windup Congress Movement. But Nehur family members kept it and made it as its own private limited company.

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oh please no jds - the scumbags are no good
by raj on May 22, 2008 11:08 AM  Permalink 

they are a two faced liars who have lied to the public. this is cheap politics. everyone knows about how they went around their promse and then put a brave face. voters, i hope yu have exercised yur franchise rightly!!!!

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Beyond Exit Polls Headlines
by Pop Head on May 22, 2008 09:41 AM  Permalink  | Hide replies

The NDTV and Cfore exit polls gave an almost diametric prediction. At the end of Phase II, NDTV projects BJP 65-75, while Cfore projects a deadheat with both Congress and BJP at 60 seats each.

For Phase II, NDTV projects BJP in a range of 32-42 seats. This is in deviation to the first phase where the channel gave a single digit seat prediction.

So why a range? All these seats are too close to call, so the range provided . Out of these ten seats, the BJP faces off the Congress in 5, JD(S) in 4 and other parties including independents in one constituency.

Though NDTV gave a range 32-42 seats for BJP for Phase II, which on closer scrutiny may not be very optimistic for the party as it seems superficially on a cursory glance. The very fact that the range commences at 32 seats, suggests the probability of even a seat loss (33 being BJP's last tally).

A poll-of-polls indicate that the BJP will overall end around 92-96 seats, Congress 72-76 seats and JDS 40-44 seats Others 10-12 seats.

A Congress-Janata Dal- SP coalition is very much on the cards. Maybe a compromise CM candidate too? Bangarappa



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RE:Beyond Exit Polls Headlines
by seena on May 23, 2008 03:34 PM  Permalink
its very intresting becase diff exit poll given diff prediction. i thik bjp may touch arround 105to 110 with indipendnet its form a govt.

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K'taka poll climax intrigues poll pundits
by Suresh Gowda on May 22, 2008 08:03 AM  Permalink  | Hide replies

Based on Exit polls in First 2 phases and survey of III phase DRS gave the following results.
1) BJP - 120 Minimum( May touch 135).
2) Congress - 43 - 49( Unlikely to touch 50)
3) JD(S) 35-42.

CFore based on exit poll in I 2 phases and survey of III phase.
BJP - 96-106
Congress - 72-82
JD(S) - 23-32

Based on exit polls NDTV on I 2 phases usually anti BJP Channel predicted BJP is on its way to form the govt.

Meanwhile many congress leaders are making beeline to Devegowda hoping that there would be a hung house and they would be front runner to be CM. This sounds very familiar to last year when lot of BJP leaders were in touch with SP when people were against SP. But people had different ideas and voted BSP with a vengeance. The same will repeat in Karnataka and BJP will emerge victorious with close to 2/3rd majority signifying the beginning of the end of UPA.

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RE:K'taka poll climax intrigues poll pundits
by raj on May 22, 2008 11:10 AM  Permalink
this will be an interesting one - though id prefer either congress or bjp. the last thing id prefer is deve gowda. rather a presidents rule than these selfish individuals - selfish i say because they have proven themselves to be interested in only themselves.

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Beyond Exit Polls Headlines
by Pop Head on May 22, 2008 01:03 AM  Permalink 

The NDTV and Cfore exit polls gave an almost diametric prediction. At the end of Phase II, NDTV projects BJP 65-75, while Cfore projects a deadheat with both Congress and BJP at 60 seats each.

For Phase II, NDTV projects BJP in a range of 32-42 seats. This is in deviation to the first phase where the channel gave a single digit seat prediction.

So why a range? All these seats are too close to call, so the range provided . Out of these ten seats, the BJP faces off the Congress in 5, JD(S) in 4 and other parties including independents in one constituency.

Though NDTV gave a range 32-42 seats for BJP for Phase II, which on closer scrutiny may not be very optimistic for the party as it seems superficially on a cursory glance. The very fact that the range commences at 32 seats, suggests the probability of even a seat loss (33 being BJP's last tally).

A poll-of-polls indicate that the BJP will overall end around 92-96 seats, Congress 72-76 seats and JDS 40-44 seats Others 10-12 seats.

A Congress-Janata Dal- SP coalition is very much on the cards. Maybe a compromise CM candidate too? Bangarappa



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pls vote for BJP
by Vinay S Ghanathe on May 21, 2008 10:37 PM  Permalink  | Hide replies

FOR ALL MY UTTARA KARNATAKA PEOPLE, PLS VOTE FOR BJP IN THE LAST PHASE OF ELECTION AND THAT MAKE BJP TO FORM GOVT. PLS.PLS.PLS.PLS.PLS.PLS.............

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