RE:False News
by Pop Head on Apr 30, 2008 01:59 AM Permalink
All surveys can go wrong. But CNN-IBN only went wrong in the case of Punjab. (Akali Dal-BJP combine got seats disporportinate to their very miniscule vote lead). Where there is more than 10% vote lead, than surveys command a very high degree in certainity
RE:False News
by Madhan Raju on Apr 30, 2008 02:19 AM Permalink
Also, CNN-IBN is not neutral and is always pro-Congress as it is run by Christian groups. For example in Hy.Karnataka BJP also very strong and can get more seats than congress. I personally know this area very well.
RE:RE:False News
by Madhan Raju on Apr 30, 2008 02:23 AM Permalink
Mysore and Charmrajnagar region BJP got good leaders like Benki, subhash, GT devegowda, Revanasiddaiah and even in Mandya BJP got Madhu Madegowda , Kempegowda and Prakash 3 good leaders. Most of the times winning election is depending on local candidate chosen by a party. So it is not like calling 5000 peoples and asking for their opinion.
RE:We know the sign of Losers when........
by Madhan Raju on Apr 30, 2008 01:57 AM Permalink
I don't know what you are talking about but I am sure this pro-poll survey is completely wrong. What is percentage of success of CNN-IBN survey??. I have seen in Bihar and Panjab predictions went wrong.
RE:We know the sign of Losers when........
by jack back on Apr 30, 2008 02:00 AM Permalink
BJP has a right to show people any trap created by Congis & allies. Why Congies & JDs don't openly declare their alliance, just to fool people?
Both Congis & JDs know that a stable government & especially that of BJP means progress, and that's what they don't want.History shows it. People without progress are miserable & so can be fooled.
The JD(S)and Congress has not fielded any candidate against Bangarappa. In many seats, Congress, JD(S), JD(U)and JD (S) all are contesting. However through informal arrangements, they field weak candidates to enable the strongest among them to win
This is yet another whammy for the BJP who was depending on division of secular votes to scrap through. This turns as what appears as a multi-polar contest to a bi-polar contest between secular parties viz BJP though there is no pre-poll alliance among the secular parties. However the secular parties have laid the ground for post-alliance.
Vote Share 2004
Congress 37.5 BJP 28.0 JD(S)& JD(U) 22.8
Much of BJP's winning seats were because of its alliance with JD(U) who are contesting independently this time round
In the last ULB elections (Sept 2007) BJP came a poor third 15-20% (vote share) behind the Congress. And the urban areas are supposed to be BJP's strongholds
RE:Yet Another Whammy for BJP
by sandeep on Apr 30, 2008 01:54 AM Permalink
this is crap.. see the number of people used for survey It reflects nothing.. just a tactic by congress to increase its vote bank
This is absolute death knell for BJP. Everyone was projecting that BJP will win with flying colors this elections. Unfortunately, BJP cannot replicate Gujarat anywhere else, atleast in the south. The budget and farmer loan sanctions and OBC reservations have put BJP candidates to rest among key voting communities. These Congress men are pros in elections and BJP need to learn more. Good luck next time! I am sure, there will be an outcry in this forum, but the majority of the voting community (farmers, Dalits, poor, and such) dont decide their votes just based on religion! Other incentives matter too!
RE:Death Knell for BJP
by sandeep on Apr 30, 2008 01:48 AM Permalink
this is crap.. see the number of people used for survey It reflects nothing.. just a tactic by congress to increase its vote bank
RE:Death Knell for BJP
by Naren on Apr 30, 2008 01:58 AM Permalink
so there conspiracy theories again! IBN working with congress to release an opinion poll to increase votebank, or congress wooing to the Muslims against Hindus for votes, I cant see when these will become extinct. I agree with the reliability of the poll based on less samples. However, the political events leading up to the elections, dont seemt o suggest otherwise, but a fallout for BJP.
RE:RE:Death Knell for BJP
by jack back on Apr 30, 2008 02:11 AM Permalink
Facts remain facts.IBN has failed. Hopefully they fail again & its our civic duty to boost the right polity.BJP has not been given a fraction of public sympathy compare to what congis have received despite being anti national party.So lets cheer BJP up as much as possible.Even if they loose we should keep on trying since people are misinformed a lot.
RE:Death Knell for BJP
by Naren on Apr 30, 2008 10:13 PM Permalink
Keep trying sir, you will soon be the final one to hold the flag of Hindutva and cry nationalism in this multi-cultural, multi-ethnic, globalized economy.
RE:RE:Death Knell for BJP
by sandeep on Apr 30, 2008 01:49 AM Permalink
The poll by CNN-IBN along with Deccan Herald and CSDS took opinions of over 5,124 registered voters across the state on their voting preference if "elections were to take place tomorrow."
RE:Death Knell for BJP
by jack back on Apr 30, 2008 02:06 AM Permalink
Why do you want to accept a defeat so soon? Of course congis are good at it.They had a long history of cheating & corruption.But once they are exposed they disappear.Gujarat is a shining example.
It is an uphill battle for BJP, accepted. Still we should be proud that at least BJP is trying for the sake of nation.Otherwise Nehruvians would have sold the country a long time ago.
