cnn ibn,ndtv,times now all were wrong, "rather manipulated" pre-poll,post poll surveys during himachal,gujarat, meghalaya,punjab, nagaland.wat happened after that is everybodys knowledge. bjp formed govt. in all states n congies bite dust.
Mr. Nanaiah saab u were one of the good politician"earlier". but when u joined JDS . Ulaso become corrupt. Now what to say, just like HDK IS BEST CM?????????? Bcoz afterwards u may get again one govt board chairman ship????? just ur dream ok. HDK HDD(DYAVE GODA) Will get rid of from people og karnataka ok.
RE:The BJP can be reduced to Single Digit
by Tathagata Mukherjee on May 01, 2008 02:53 AM Permalink
The Deccan-Herald pre-poll survey that BJP is not only a Lingayat party but that too confined to Mumbai-Karnataka region, where they are expected to sweep. This is the region where Lingayats concentrate in high numbers.
The Congress is main challenger to the BJP in this region. Consequently if all non-Lingayats in that region consolidate their voting around Congress than BJP will be practically wiped out from Karnataka competing with minor parties like SP, JD(U), BSP for third place.
RE:RE:The BJP can be reduced to Single Digit
by Tathagata Mukherjee on May 01, 2008 02:54 AM Permalink
Why even 70 seats is too much. They can be reduced to single digits.
The CNN-IBN survey has showed that the BJP lacks a pan Karnataka character. It is mainly supported by Lingayats concentrated in the Mumbai-Karnataka region (50 seats)where it is poised to sweep. In all other regions, BJP is wiped out or trailing a distant second.
So two steps is all that is required to reduce BJP to single digits:
1. Informal election understanding among secular parties like they did in the case of Yediruppa - JD(S) not fielding a candidate and Congress fielding a very weak candidate - the combined impact consolidates the anti-BJP votes. This has happened already.
2. Tactical voting by non-Lingayats against BJP to counter the Lingayat consolidation behind BJP
This way, the Congress wins and the JD(S) becomes the main opposition party - the good old days of decent politics without riots!
RE:RE:RE:The BJP can be reduced to Single Digit
by Tathagata Mukherjee on May 01, 2008 02:54 AM Permalink
by srikanth hegde on Apr 30, 2008 06:12 PM | Hide replies
Part I continued:
5. with the entry of war horse Bangarappa, the situation is becoming dramatic in the home constituency of Yeddi. Here is a piquant situation. Of the voting population here (around 1, 60,000), you can see the following caste domination:
Lingayats and Veershaivas: 55,000 Idigas: 30,000 Kurubas (Siddaramaiah's caste): 20,000 Lamabanis: 15,000 OBCs and Dalits: 30,000 Muslims, Christians and others: 10,000
Congress and JDS are not contesting and together they have about 25,000 votes.
Now, assuming that (with a voter turnout of 80%)
25% of Idigas, 75% of Veershaivas, 25% of Kurubas and Lambanis vote for Yeddi, the total votes come to around- 65,000
Likewise, Bangarappa may get 75% of Idigas, 25% of Veershaivas, 75% of Kurubas and Lambanis vote for Yeddi, the total votes come to around- almost close to 65,000
It seems that there is a tough fight for Shikaripur seat. If all Non BJP votes solidify as one, there may be a cliffhanger of a result!
RE:Are English News Channels Biased towards Congress? Lies, Lies, More Lies
by anti sycophant on May 01, 2008 09:20 AM Permalink
cnn ibn,ndtv,times now all were wrong, "rather manipulated" pre-poll,post poll surveys during himachal,gujarat, meghalaya,punjab, nagaland.wat happened after that is everybodys knowledge. bjp formed govt. in all states n congies bite dust.
Fighting the caste system makes you a true Hindu. The caste system is part of the Brahminism religion that enterted India via migration from the Arab world. Do the upper castes look like Tom Cruz or Pamela Anderson or do they look like Saddam Hussien and Bin Laden? The answer is that they look like Saddam and Bin Laden and rest of the Arab kinds. The upper caste people are not mixed-breed whites from Northern Europe, instead they are migrants from the Arab world. The true Hindus need to take back India from these Brahminical hijackers. The root of true India is the Indus valley civilization, yoga and Shiva worship. All Vishu awatars are imports from the Arab world where birth based existance supercedes everything else.
How reliable are opinion polls? Psephology is a science and subject to errors.
The biggest goof-up including NDTV had been the 2004 Lok Sabha polls where most polls indicated a clear win for the NDA. NDTV gave NDA 230-250 seats to UPA's 190-205. Almost all the English news channel predicted similarly. The knickerwallahs then used to cite these polls to bloster BJP's chances.
Contrary to BJP and its supporters insinuations that CNN-IBN got Gujurat wrong, the naked fact is that the channel was spot on. This can be verified by refering to their past predictions published in both print media or internet. The Times of India published CNN-IBN Gujurat exit polls giving - BJP 92-100 Congress 77-85
Misgivings if any was that their survey failed to project the real magnitude of BJP's win in Gujurat. An analysis of all past opinion polls show that this is more a reflection of methodological failure to convert votes into seat shares.
Opinion polls are accurate pointing the direction the wind blows but seems unable to capture the magnitude of impact of voter's mood precisely in terms of seats. In Gujurat (a 10% vote lead) this led the BJP to get more than their predicted seat share. The Congress in Karnataka holds a 10% vote lead and accordingly on the way to a much larger victory than predicted by CNN-IBN
RE:Are English News Channels Biased towards Congress? Lies, Lies, More Lies
by anti sycophant on May 01, 2008 02:22 AM Permalink
communist lanja kodukula dhi naaku...
Why even 70 seats is too much. They can be reduced to single digits.
The CNN-IBN survey has showed that the BJP lacks a pan Karnataka character. It is mainly supported by Lingayats concentrated in the Mumbai-Karnataka region (50 seats)where it is poised to sweep. In all other regions, BJP is wiped out or trailing a distant second.
So two steps is all that is required to reduce BJP to single digits:
1. Informal election understanding among secular parties like they did in the case of Yediruppa - JD(S) not fielding a candidate and Congress fielding a very weak candidate - the combined impact consolidates the anti-BJP votes. This has happened already.
2. Tactical voting by non-Lingayats against BJP to counter the Lingayat consolidation behind BJP
This way, the Congress wins and the JD(S) becomes the main opposition party - the good old days of decent politics without riots!
RE:BJP can be Reduced to Single Digit
by Tathagata Mukherjee on Apr 30, 2008 10:41 PM Permalink
y srikanth hegde on Apr 30, 2008 06:12 PM | Hide replies
Part I continued:
5. with the entry of war horse Bangarappa, the situation is becoming dramatic in the home constituency of Yeddi. Here is a piquant situation. Of the voting population here (around 1, 60,000), you can see the following caste domination:
Lingayats and Veershaivas: 55,000 Idigas: 30,000 Kurubas (Siddaramaiah's caste): 20,000 Lamabanis: 15,000 OBCs and Dalits: 30,000 Muslims, Christians and others: 10,000
Congress and JDS are not contesting and together they have about 25,000 votes.
Now, assuming that (with a voter turnout of 80%)
25% of Idigas, 75% of Veershaivas, 25% of Kurubas and Lambanis vote for Yeddi, the total votes come to around- 65,000
Likewise, Bangarappa may get 75% of Idigas, 25% of Veershaivas, 75% of Kurubas and Lambanis vote for Yeddi, the total votes come to around- almost close to 65,000
It seems that there is a tough fight for Shikaripur seat. If all Non BJP votes solidify as one, there may be a cliffhanger of a result!
RE:BJP can be Reduced to Single Digit
by anti sycophant on May 01, 2008 09:20 AM Permalink
cnn ibn,ndtv,times now all were wrong, "rather manipulated" pre-poll,post poll surveys during himachal,gujarat, meghalaya,punjab, nagaland.wat happened after that is everybodys knowledge. bjp formed govt. in all states n congies bite dust.
RE:Who is the victim in karnataka today
by Tathagata Mukherjee on Apr 30, 2008 10:35 PM Permalink
We make the judge and vote Congress. Make Karnataka BJP's graveyard.
RE:Who is the victim in karnataka today
by anti sycophant on May 01, 2008 09:21 AM Permalink
cnn ibn,ndtv,times now all were wrong, "rather manipulated" pre-poll,post poll surveys during himachal,gujarat, meghalaya,punjab, nagaland.wat happened after that is everybodys knowledge. bjp formed govt. in all states n congies bite dust.
