The assumption that Lingayat Brahmin vote will win majority for the BJP is a mere fallacy. (The Brahmin vote is miniscule in the state).
The JD(S) has already largely perceived to have collapsed and all other communities may graviate towards the Congress since the JD(S) is increasingly seen as a loser. This second scenaraio is already visibly evident. It must be noted that Vokaligas and Muslims tend to switch from JD(S) and Congress and back again very freqently.
Vicky's analysis of why SM Krishna is not standing or why Congress is not announcing its CM candidate is based on the later scenario - Congress is trying to be a magnet for all castes and does not want to upset caste equations - very shrewd strategy.
So what evidence is available of a Lingayat-non-Lingayat caste polarization has taken place. The BJP boasted that they had a 15 day campaign lead over the Congress. Now that they hit the campaign trail, they have realized that the masses have very little enthusiasm for them.
1. Congress has a 10% lead over the BJP and expected to have more than a comfortable majority. (Cong 41%, BJP 30.5%, JD(S) 22.5)
2. Though the state appear to have a multi-polar contest among Cong, BJP and JD(S), in majority of seats, effectively it is a a bi-polar fight that puts BJP into a disadvantage. The JD(S) trailing the BJP by 7% vote share, may end up close to the seat tally of the BJP as their votes are concentrated giving them a higher strike rate.
3. The BJP is poised to be decimated in Bangalore and suffer major losses in the coastal belt. In North Karnataka, the BJP holds the edge but expected to suffer minor erosion in its vote share. There is evidence that the Lingayat base of the BJP showing signs of strain.
4. The share of other parties like SP, JD(U), BSP comes down to around 6-7%.
Watch CNN-IBN Tuesday, 29th April, 2008 9.30 pm for details
BJP - the Most Corrupt Party by Suresh Gowda on Apr 28, 2008 09:05 AM | Hide replies
Ask any person from a place called Shimoga, on how much property Yeddi has made in the last 2 years! He or she will tell you! Trimurtis of BJP Yeddi, Eeeshwarappa and D.H.Shankaramurti have a combined list of properties worth more than 500 crores in Shimoga alone, all in benami accounts. Yeddi's son Raghavendra is a notorious deal fixer and a lobby maker. He has already collected crores from ticket seekers in the state.
RE:Yediruppa - Most Corrupt
by aoneall on Apr 28, 2008 10:19 AM Permalink
No surprise! Power to BJP gets drunk with power very easily because they are not used to it whereas Congress is an old hand in doing it. That is why BJP leaders are more corrupt in a short time but if BJP is lucky to get power for a long time, they will be equally corrupt as Congress.
RE:Yediruppa - Most Corrupt
by Vikas on Apr 28, 2008 12:35 PM Permalink
r u saying that bjp is secular like congress? thanks for the wonderful certificate.
RE:Yediruppa - Most Corrupt
by Ajay Pal on Apr 28, 2008 10:18 AM Permalink
Doesn't matter really. Yediruppa is cornered by Bangarappa in a virtual two way fight, with Congress not putting up a candidate against him. He has an uphill task to win his own seat, leave alone assure that BJP emerge the single largest party.
RE:Yediruppa - Most Corrupt
by on Apr 29, 2008 01:58 PM Permalink
You know what... Ananth Kumar has a hand in bangarappa contesting against Yeddi.. If BJP wins with majority and Yeddi loses his seat.. who's gonna be the CM then...?? Ananth Kumar !!! Also ananth has made huge money by selling off seats in bangalore to builders and developers... That money wuld hv been transfered to bangarappa to fight the elections
RE:Yediruppa - Most Corrupt
by Tamal Das on Apr 28, 2008 11:28 AM Permalink
Kumarswami's welth(declared) increased more than 12 crore during 18 month. from 37.1 cr to 50 cr
RE:Yediruppa - Most Corrupt
by Suresh Babu on Apr 28, 2008 11:56 AM Permalink
BJP is an extreme rightwing communal party, it is far more dangerous than the terrorists in the country. This judgment was given by a Supreme Court, while ordering reinvestigation on the Post Godhra communal violence in Gujarat.
RE:RE:Yediruppa - Most Corrupt
by tka on Apr 28, 2008 01:16 PM Permalink
I have lived in gujarat, bangalore, mumbai, and gurgaon. Gujarat is clearly the safest place across all these places. You are talking nonsense obviously because you do not know what happened in godhtra (train burning my 2000 muslim fundamentalist, killing 58 innocent, men, ladies and children) and post godhra when riots happened where 750 muslims and 260 hindus died. Many of the muslims who died were illegal bangladeshi immigrants. These were genuine riots which is proven by 260 hindus having died. The govt. did not have any role to play. The supreme court has not mentioned any such thing about BJP in their judgement, I have read it and you are spreading lies. Please be careful.
Ask any person from a place called Shimoga, on how much property Yeddi has made in the last 2 years! He or she will tell you! Trimurtis of BJP Yeddi, Eeeshwarappa and D.H.Shankaramurti have a combined list of properties worth more than 500 crores in Shimoga alone, all in benami accounts. Yeddi's son Raghavendra is a notorious deal fixer and a lobby maker. He has already collected crores from ticket seekers in the state.
RE:BJP - the Most Corrupt Party
by Vikas on Apr 28, 2008 12:13 PM Permalink
Is corruption patented by Congress and JDS ? Indira Gandhi justified that corruption is a global phenomenon. India is a socialist country, so BJP should be given its fair chance for corruption.
RE:BJP - the Most Corrupt Party
by Veera Ballal on Apr 28, 2008 10:06 AM Permalink
Ask any body in Ramanagaram and Hassan and they will NOT tell how much land the Gowda clan has got. If they tell, then they are eliminated. This is the stark truth about Indian politices. Be it Congress, JDS, BJP, SP,BSP or the left. So Mr Gowda,say something new like, HDD retiring along with his clan
RE:BJP - the Most Corrupt Party
by Ravi PV on Apr 28, 2008 09:07 AM Permalink
But then do you have any idea of how much wealth Congressmen have amassed.
RE:BJP - the Most Corrupt Party
by Anantha Kumar Rajamani on Apr 28, 2008 12:53 PM Permalink
Looks as if the name of the state has been decoded thoroughly: "Karnataka" - Kar means "to do" and Nataka means "drama". Every politician is in the process of enacting/doing drama!!!
